Same System, Two Countries — How the Ultra-Processed Food Economy Reads in the Evidence | Borlaug Field Notes

Same System, Two Countries: What the Evidence Was Trying to Tell Us

I evaluated two peer-reviewed academic papers — one on American obesity, one on Filipino obesity — for a school assignment. Both got the data right. Both missed the system both countries are inside. Then the same week, a Filipino canned-fish brand was crowned a “superfood” by an American wellness body. The campaign was the proof the papers had been circling.

For an evidence-evaluation assignment this term, I worked through two academic essays on obesity — one set in the United States, one set in the Philippines. They were written by different authors, in different journals, with different framings. Both were peer-reviewed. Both used real national-survey data. Both reached strong cultural conclusions about why their country’s bodies are getting heavier.

Reading them back to back, I noticed something the rubric had not asked me to look for. The two papers were describing the same machine from opposite sides of the Pacific — and neither of them named it. Then, a week after I finished the worksheets, the machine showed itself. Mega Sardines was crowned a “superfood” by a Texas wellness body, and the Manila Times filed it under Filipino Champions. The two papers I had just evaluated were the diagnostic. The Mega Sardines campaign is the symptom on a tin can.

I. The Two Papers

Same Body, Different Story

I want to be specific about which papers, because the unified message only works if both halves are real. Both essays are linked below in full, with my evaluation alongside.

United States · 2022
“The Origins of the Obesity Epidemic in the USA — Lessons for Today”
Norman J. Temple, Athabasca University · Nutrients, vol. 14, no. 20 · open access · 41 references
My evidence evaluation (PDF) →
Philippines · 2022
“Influences of Different Environmental Factors to the Increasing Rate of Obesity in the Philippines: A Review”
dela Luna, Espaldon & Sevilla-Nastor, UP Los Baños · Asia Pacific Journal of Allied Health Sciences, vol. 5, no. 1
My evidence evaluation (PDF) →

Temple argues the American obesity epidemic was triggered by the post-1977 corporate shift to ultra-processed foods and sugar-sweetened beverages. dela Luna and colleagues argue the Philippine obesity rise is rooted in colonialism — what they call internalized racial oppression — predisposing Filipinos to embrace Western foods. Different countries. Different mechanisms. Different politics. Same shape of argument.

Each paper, evaluated on its own, has problems my Grade 11 worksheets walked through in detail: cherry-picked evidence, post hoc reasoning, framings that present a thesis as a finding. But that is the small story. The bigger story — the one the rubric did not ask me to write, and the one I think actually matters — is what becomes visible only when the two papers are read together.

II. What Both Papers Saw

The Pattern Across Both Sides of the Pacific

  1. Both opened with credible national data
    Temple cited NHANES; dela Luna cited the FNRI National Nutrition Survey. Both datasets are real, government-collected, peer-reviewed-grade evidence. Both sets of numbers hold up. The data, on both sides of the Pacific, agrees that adult overweight has risen since the late 1970s.
  2. Both pinned the cause on a national cultural narrative
    For Temple, the narrative was American corporate predation. For dela Luna, the narrative was Filipino colonial inheritance. Each chose a culturally legible story for its own country. Each story is plausible inside its own borders. Neither story crossed the Pacific. Neither story even tried to.
  3. Both ended with policy recommendations the framing demanded
    Temple ended with sugar taxes and vending-machine bans aimed at U.S. policy-makers. dela Luna ended with anti-westernisation public-health strategies aimed at Philippine policy-makers. In each case, the recommended fix was domestic. The system being recommended against was, in both cases, transnational.

That third point is the one that lit up. If American obesity is caused by the U.S. ultra-processed food economy, and Filipino obesity is caused by the same kind of food environment showing up under the label of “westernisation” — then we are not looking at two different national problems. We are looking at one industry, two markets, two academic framings that politely refuse to name it as one industry.

III. The System They Did Not Name

One Machine, Two Markets

The ultra-processed food economy does not require permission from a national culture to enter it. It requires only a population, a retail shelf, and an absence of regulation strong enough to push back. In the United States it produces obesity coexisting with food insecurity in the same households — what the USDA calls very low food security — because the cheapest calories at the supermarket are also the most processed. In the Philippines it produces overweight and obesity layered on top of stunting and wasting, often inside the same family across three generations, because the same kind of cheap shelf-stable processed product is what arrives where fresh food does not.

United States, 2024
13.5%
U.S. households food insecure (USDA ERR-358, Dec 2025)
…on the same retail shelves where adult obesity now exceeds 40%.
Philippines, 2023
31.4%
Filipino households moderate-to-severe food insecurity (FIES, 2023 NNS)
…in a country where 39.8% of adults are now obese (2023 NNS).

These are not different problems. They are the same problem expressed at different prices, in different currencies, on shelves stocked by largely overlapping multinational corporations. The American academic blames Cargill and PepsiCo without naming them. The Filipino academic blames colonialism without noticing that the colonial-era food trade has long since been absorbed into a global processed-food supply chain that no longer needs an empire to operate. The two papers are describing the same enterprise from opposite sides of one transaction.

The unified message
Obesity, food insecurity, and the cultural cost are three faces of one system — and that system does not respect the borders the academic framings are organised around.

The same ultra-processed food economy profits from selling cheap calories to American households who cannot afford fresh food, and from selling cheap calories to Filipino households who cannot afford fresh food. The framings differ. The shelves are the same shelves. The cost paid in cardiovascular disease, diabetes, stunting, and shortened life expectancy is paid by households on both sides of the Pacific, often with very similar incomes after exchange rate.

Until the analysis names the system rather than the nation, the recommendations will keep being domestic — and the system will keep operating across borders the policy never reaches.

IV. Mega Sardines, the Symptom

When the System Comes Out of Hiding

This is where the Mega Sardines campaign matters more than any school worksheet I could write. In June 2025, an American wellness body crowned a Filipino canned-fish brand a “superfood.” By January 2026, the same body had declared 2026 the “International Year of the Sardines,” with the Filipino brand “appointed to bring the message across continents.” The Manila Times filed it under “Filipino Champions.”

Read against the two academic papers, this campaign is the system finally visible. An American private trade body issues a health label. A Filipino corporation amplifies it as national pride. Filipino media celebrates it as cultural achievement. The product itself — high in sodium, classified as ultra-processed by NOVA criteria — is then sold to Filipino households where 31.4% are food-insecure and 39.8% of adults are obese. The same households that are the case study in the Filipino academic paper. The same kind of food environment Temple describes for the United States. One transaction, observable at every step.

The two academic papers were diagnostic. The Mega Sardines campaign is the disease photograph. The cultural cost is not abstract — it is what happens when “Filipino Champions” gets stamped on a tin can as a marketing move, and the pride a country has in its own food becomes the lever a corporation uses to sell back to it.

I have written about the Mega Sardines campaign separately, in detail, with the regulatory thresholds, the sodium values across continents, the ten-year fisheries data, and the verifiable corporate timeline. That essay is here. What this companion piece does is locate it inside the Borlaug frame: this is what the academic literature is already describing, and is failing to name as one thing.

V. Where This Goes Next

What the Revised Paper Has to Do

My 2022 Borlaug Scholar paper, written at thirteen, did the same thing both academic papers did. It opened with real Philippine data. It framed the data inside a single national narrative. It used temporal correlation as causal proof. It closed with a ten-point domestic policy plan. The reviewer letter caught some of this in 2023; reading these two academic papers in 2026 has helped me see the rest.

The revised paper, due by December 2026, has to break the pattern on purpose. It has to name the framing it is using. It has to engage with the strongest counter-evidence rather than walk past it. It has to separate the description of the problem from the policy recommendations. Above all, it has to name the food economy as a transnational system, because that is what the evidence — read honestly, across both countries — actually shows. Domestic recommendations addressed to a transnational producer are recommendations the producer can outwait.

The Mega Sardines campaign will not be a footnote in that revised paper. It will be a worked example of why naming the system matters, and why the cultural cost — the moment “Filipino Champions” becomes a marketing slot a Texas trade body books on behalf of a multinational corporation — is not separate from the obesity numbers and the food-insecurity numbers. It is the same story. It just shows up on a tin can instead of in a regression table.

Calculate. Commit. Continue.
Borlaug Scholar · Field Notes · April 2026

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